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Showing posts with label Shadow Register. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Shadow Register. Show all posts

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Slightly Obsessive, You Say?

The Shadow Register was quiet all last week. No one reported any (second-round) offers. I waited and waited and then on Friday checked my rankings again to see if there had been any movement. Well, yes, there had been. I'd moved up -- by exactly one slot.

Grrrr! Teeth-grinding time.

ONE SLOT??? What does that mean? 

Could it be that only one new acceptance had come in since the last time I checked (an entire week earlier)? Or could it be that the overly-busy folks at State simply hadn't had the time to update the Register?

In late May, my rank was 27. Checked two days after the first round of offers went out, my rank came in at 19 and therefore reflected at least eight acceptances. The latest rank of 18 would make it nine. That leaves a lot of offers (publicly) unaccounted for. And that could mean the possibility of more offers,  couldn't it? 

Oh, tell me it would!

I want to think positively. I want to be confident. I want to hold my chin up high and keep a stiff upper lip! And there have certainly been moments when I've managed to do exactly that. But please note that I said "moments." Not minutes, or even seconds, but moments. The rest of the time I try not to think about it. As a matter-of-fact, I spend an inordinate amount of time trying not to think about it. It's exhausting.

This business of sitting on the Registers is ...  well, it can certainly tinker with your sanity, can't it? For example, if you're like me, then you don't consider yourself particularly adept with an Excel spreadsheet. But you suddenly find yourself very adept at designing fairly complicated formulas and charts to track your progress on the Register. You assign a green zone and an orange zone and a red zone to the rankings -- those ranges where you're most "likely" (or unlikely) to get the call. And you scour the board for rankings related to previous offers, then double check the dates to make sure those numbers don't reflect a different time, a different reality -- that they're still relevant to your situation, to right now. You do all that and plug it all in and admire your pretty handiwork and then ... 

Well, then you collapse. You realize that you can do all the calculating you want, but unless you're ranked in the single digits, you can't be sure of anything. Even then, your optimism is affected by an awareness that you're incredibly vulnerable to a host of factors beyond your control.

So how am I feeling today, at this moment? Optimistic, I'd say. Irrationally, perhaps, but still happily.

We'll see. This week should provide definitive answers. 
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011

UPs aNd dOwns

Last week, I calls DSS to check the status of my security clearance. I already knew from a previous call that they were going to miss my target date of January 4th, because of a "lead pending.' That news had upset me as I knew from the A-100 board that "lead pending" could translate into months of waiting just for the information-gathering part of the process to complete. So I was quite encouraged to learn, with that last phone call, that this phase of my case had been completed after all, albeit one or two days late.

The next step would be the decision as to whether my case would go straight to Final Suitability Review or face the dreaded detour of Adjudications. I read on the A-100 board that a majority of the cases do end up going through adjudications. That can add merely days or, unfortunately, months to the processing time. Even more unfortunately, that's where a candidacy can reach a final and irrevocable end. (If adjudications turns you down, you can appeal, but statistics, apparently are not in your favor.)

During that last phone call, the customer service representative recommended that I call back today for an update. I've been praying for good news, but trying to prepare myself for bad. Of course, trying to prepare yourself for bad news never works. It just means you spent time worrying.

Still, I was OK. And then I did something really dumb, something I know I shouldn't do. I went back to the A-100 boards to see if there was information about class sizes and whether invitations for classes had been sent out. I also wanted to check the Shadow Register* to see how long it was and the scores of those who had received invitations.

A little voice told me not to do it. Did I listen? Nope.

The Shadow Register shows that the list of waiting hopefuls in the consular track is up to 180; it's even higher for other tracks. The class sizes are down, but could be inching up again. However, the lowest score of the last people called was 5.7. Up until about a month ago, a score of 5.7 put you in the 20s on the Register.** Now, people with a 5.7 are dropping "down" to the 30s. Even as recently as late 2009, a score of 5.4 was more than enough to net an invitation to the A-100. With a 5.7, you were a shoe-in. Around the beginning of 2010, that began to change. People with a 5.7 were beginning to have to sit, and wait. As time went by, the wait got longer. Now, at the head of 2011, a score of 5.4 just means you have the privilege of sitting on the Register. It also means that you have almost no chance of getting the job. And a 5.7 seems to mean that you have only a slightly better chance of getting the job. 

Upsetting? You bet. I tell myself that with a 5.7 it's still just a waiting game. That if you hold on long enough, you will inch up the queue; they will get around to you. I tell myself that, but I'm not sure I believe it.

In their desperation, people are going through the process again and again, signing up to take the written test, pushing through to the essays to score that invitation to the OA again. They're pumping themselves up to go through that nerve-wracking marathon day of testing, hoping to increase their base score. At the same time, they're using their savings to sign up for intensive language courses -- Turkish, Chinese, Russian, what have you -- whatever could snare them an extra 0.4 points.

I'm seeing incredible scores on the Shadow Register: 5.8 and 6. This morning, one of the Shadow Registers (I forget which one), showed a score of 6.15. This person might have had language plus veterans' points. Now, of course, a score such as 6 or higher is rare, but the 5.7s, 5.8s and 5.9s are becoming less rare. There seem to be more and more of them and the rate at which even they are receiving invitations is slowing down.

The last time someone with a 5.4 got an invitation to an A-100 seems to have been last April, according to the Shadow Register.

I should forget about the 5.4s you say? After all, I'm going to pass my language test and get those bonus points, aren't I? I wish I could be that confident. I can speak "my" foreign language well enough to enjoy everyday conversation. But I have neither the vocabulary nor the confidence in my grammar to handle complex subjects such as current events. And they ask you about that stuff on the phone test.

I was very depressed this morning after visiting the board. I thought about my much anticipated phone call to DSS, the one I'm to make this afternoon. And an inner voice said, "It won't matter what the outcome is, will it? Because even with a 5.7, your chances of getting this job are just short of zero."

So, yes, I'm down today. Very down. And as I sit here, I can barely read what I'm typing. My sight is bleary with tears.

I'm so tired of struggling. If this door closes to me, I don't know what I'll do.

*   The Shadow Register is an attempt by the folks on the A-100 to duplicate the official Register. The information on the Shadow Register is totally dependent on people voluntarily submitting their information. Many participants do not participate, however; others share their information initially but do not always update it. So, the Shadow Register varies in its accuracy. However, I've never seen anyone who got into the A-100 come back to the board and say the impression the Shadow Register conveyed was totally off track.
** Your rank reflects where you are in line for an A-100 invitation. So a rank of 1 means you're first in line; a rank of 20 means you're twentieth and so on.
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About the Author

I'm a novelist and former news writer. I'm also single mom with one child at home and one in college. I spent 15 years overseas, returned to the States several years ago. I've always wanted to join the Foreign Service -- (Doesn't that sound trite?) -- and now think it would be a wonderful time to do so.

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The views and opinions expressed in this blog represent those of the author, and not of the United States Government or any of its agencies or officials therein. All information disclosed in this blog is non-sensitive and readily available in the public domain.

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